Will Hill parlay of the week — Will Hill’s parlay of the week spans five legs across MLB, college football and the NFL, tying together a World Series pitching matchup, a rested SEC home team, an undefeated Chiefs squad on the road, the NFL’s most reliable over trend and a banged-up 49ers team on short rest.
Rays-Brewers Game 1: Under on the strength of the starters
Friday night’s World Series opener between Tampa Bay and Milwaukee sets up as a pitchers’ duel in Hill’s view. Drew Rasmussen takes the ball for the Rays, while Jacob Misirowski starts for the Brewers — a matchup Hill frames around Misirowski’s standing as the likely NL Cy Young winner. Both bullpens are quality and rested, which reinforces the case for a low-scoring Game 1.
Tennessee at South Carolina: Gamecocks in a good spot
Hill is picking Tennessee to lose or fail to cover on the road at South Carolina. The reasoning starts with rest: the Gamecocks are coming off a bye, while the Volunteers are working on a short week after their win over Alabama last season. South Carolina also carries momentum from a road win at Florida in its last game. The situational edge points toward the home team.
Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Rest and motivation favor Seattle
Hill is taking the Seahawks to win outright against Kansas City on Sunday night. Seattle has dropped two straight, but the schedule has been kinder than it looks: the Seahawks last played on a Thursday, giving them extra recovery time. The Chiefs are undefeated, yet their five wins came against the Dolphins, Colts, Raiders, Chargers and Broncos — and the Colts game needed overtime. Hill sees a rested, motivated Seattle team catching Kansas City in a potential letdown spot.
Lions game: Over rides a season-long trend
Every Detroit Lions game this season has gone over the total, and Hill is sticking with that pattern. Each contest has exceeded 53.5 points, with two games reaching the 60s and one reaching the 70s. The trend is consistent enough that Hill makes the over his pick for Detroit’s next matchup.
Falcons vs. 49ers: Atlanta catches San Francisco short-handed
Hill is backing the Falcons to cover against San Francisco in Atlanta. The 49ers remain undefeated, but they are dealing with multiple wide receiver injuries — Mike Evans is the latest — and they played Monday night, leaving them on the road on short rest. Those factors give Atlanta an opening to keep the game close or win it outright.
What the parlay requires
All five legs must hit for the parlay to pay: the Rays-Brewers under, Tennessee losing or not covering at South Carolina, Seattle winning outright, the Lions game going over, and Atlanta covering against San Francisco. The card leans on pitching, rest differentials and a scoring trend rather than star power, and each leg has a clear situational rationale behind it.
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