Saturday’s Week 8 matchup at Huntington Bank Stadium brings No. 15 Iowa to Minneapolis to face Minnesota, and the Iowa vs Minnesota prediction from FOX Sports Research points to a low-scoring game. DraftKings Sportsbook set the total at 40.5 points, and FOX Sports Research picked the under.
Odds and lines
DraftKings listed Iowa as a 6.5-point favorite at -108, with Minnesota +6.5 also at -108. On the moneyline, the Hawkeyes are -258 and the Golden Gophers are +210. The total sits at 40.5, with the over priced at -112 and the under at -108. Those odds were listed as of Oct. 24, 2026.
Why the under stands out
The case for the under rests on more than the number itself. FOX Sports Research supplied the historical notes behind the pick, and the recent series has been lopsided in a way that limits Minnesota’s scoring. Over the last 10 meetings, Minnesota is 1-9 against Iowa. In those same 10 games, the Golden Gophers averaged just 13.5 points while allowing 25.9 per game.
That combination — a low scoring average for Minnesota and a defense that has given up nearly 26 points per game in the series — helps explain why a 40.5 total looks attainable only if the game stays close and slow. The research pick is on the under, not on either side.
Minnesota's home history in the series
Minnesota’s last home win over Iowa came in 2014, a 51-14 result. Since then, the Golden Gophers have not beaten the Hawkeyes at home. The 1-9 mark in the last 10 meetings covers games played at both campuses, but the home drought is the more specific note for Saturday’s venue.
Kamari Moulton's recent rushing surge
Iowa’s ground game offers a counterpoint to the low-total argument. Running back Kamari Moulton ran for 202 yards against Washington in Week 6. It was Iowa’s first 200-yard rushing game since Kaleb Johnson did it in 2024. That performance gives the Hawkeyes a recent example of a back capable of controlling a game and moving the chains, which could push the total higher if Minnesota struggles to contain him.
How to watch
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026. FS1 will televise the game. Streaming options include FOX One, FOXSports.com and the FOX Sports App. The game will be played at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
What to know before kickoff
- Iowa is ranked No. 15 and is the road favorite.
- Minnesota is the home underdog on the moneyline at +210.
- The spread is 6.5 points, with both sides at -108.
- The total is 40.5, and FOX Sports Research picked the under.
- Minnesota has won once in the last 10 meetings with Iowa.
- Minnesota’s last home win over Iowa was in 2014.
DraftKings Sportsbook provided the odds. FOX Sports may receive compensation from betting partners.
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